(From EMVCo, NIST FIPS 204, and industry reports – December 2025)
Current Status: As of December 2025, ML-DSA is not integrated into production EMV payment cards. EMV still uses RSA/ECC for offline data authentication (DDA/CDA) and symmetric keys (3DES/AES) for session cryptograms. ML-DSA (NIST FIPS 204, formerly Dilithium) is in early planning/evaluation phase for post-quantum migration – alongside ML-KEM.
Real 2025 Timeline (EMVCo/VISA/Mastercard roadmaps):
Why No Production Integration Yet:
ML-DSA Advantages for EMV:
Hybrid Approach (Most Likely 2026–2032):
Challenges & Solutions (2025 Research):
NXP JCOP 5 (2025 Flagship):
Visa/Mastercard Plans (2025 White Papers):
Likely choice: ML-DSA-65 (balance size/security).
EMVCo C-8 kernel + NIST standards ready – quantum threat real but not immediate.
For legitimate research: Use liboqs + open implementations.
Stay safe – PQC migration is coming.
Your choice.
– Based on NIST FIPS 204, EMVCo C-8, NXP JCOP 5 docs (2025).
Current Status: As of December 2025, ML-DSA is not integrated into production EMV payment cards. EMV still uses RSA/ECC for offline data authentication (DDA/CDA) and symmetric keys (3DES/AES) for session cryptograms. ML-DSA (NIST FIPS 204, formerly Dilithium) is in early planning/evaluation phase for post-quantum migration – alongside ML-KEM.
Real 2025 Timeline (EMVCo/VISA/Mastercard roadmaps):
- 2025: Research + hybrid prototypes (RSA/ECC + ML-DSA signatures).
- 2026–2028: Pilot deployments + testing.
- 2028–2032: Hybrid mandatory for new cards.
- 2032+: Full PQC (remove RSA/ECC).
Why No Production Integration Yet:
- Billions of cards/terminals – migration cycle 10+ years.
- ML-DSA signatures much larger (2–10x vs ECC).
- Terminal memory/performance constraints.
- Backward compatibility required.
Why ML-DSA Is Being Considered for EMV
Quantum Threat to Current EMV:- RSA/ECC signatures (offline DDA/CDA) vulnerable to Shor’s algorithm (future CRQC ~2030+).
- Symmetric cryptograms (ARQC) safe (Grover only quadratic speedup – double key size fixes).
- Harvest-now-decrypt-later: Low relevance for EMV – data short-lived.
ML-DSA Advantages for EMV:
- Digital signature algorithm – replaces RSA/ECC for offline authentication.
- Lattice-based – resistant to quantum attacks.
- Parameter sets: ML-DSA-44 (light), ML-DSA-65 (standard), ML-DSA-87 (high security).
- Signature sizes (approx):
- ML-DSA-44: ~2.4 KB
- ML-DSA-65: ~3.3 KB
- ML-DSA-87: ~4.8 KB (vs ECC P-256: ~64 bytes)
Proposed Integration Path (From EMVCo C-8 Kernel + 2025 Bulletins)
EMVCo C-8 Kernel (Unified Contactless – 2025):- Supports ECC + AES now.
- Designed for PQC extensions (larger TLV blocks for ML-DSA signatures).
- First approvals 2024–2025.
Hybrid Approach (Most Likely 2026–2032):
- Offline DDA/CDA: ECC signature + ML-DSA signature (dual).
- Signature format: Composite or augmented (classical + PQC).
- Terminal processing: Validate ECC first (legacy), ML-DSA for new security level.
- Contactless: Larger data blocks in C-8 kernel accommodate ML-DSA size.
Challenges & Solutions (2025 Research):
- Signature size: 2–10x larger → C-8 kernel extended TLV + split processing.
- Performance: Slower verification → optimized implementations (NXP SmartMX3+).
- Compatibility: Dual signatures → old terminals ignore ML-DSA part.
- Key management: Hybrid KEM (ML-KEM) for key exchange.
NXP JCOP 5 (2025 Flagship):
- Supports ECC + AES now.
- Ready for ML-DSA via firmware update (2026 expected).
- Larger memory for PQC signatures.
Visa/Mastercard Plans (2025 White Papers):
- Hybrid PQC signatures – classical + ML-DSA.
- Pilot 2026 – select issuers.
- Backward compatibility critical.
ML-DSA Parameter Sets & EMV Fit
| Parameter Set | Security Level | Public Key Size | Signature Size | Recommended EMV Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML-DSA-44 | NIST Level 1 | 1312 bytes | 2420 bytes | Low-risk offline |
| ML-DSA-65 | NIST Level 3 | 1952 bytes | 3293 bytes | Standard payment |
| ML-DSA-87 | NIST Level 5 | 2592 bytes | 4595 bytes | High-security (premium cards) |
Likely choice: ML-DSA-65 (balance size/security).
Bottom Line – December 2025
ML-DSA integration in EMV is in planning/research – no production cards yet. Hybrid ECC + ML-DSA expected first (2026–2028). Full PQC likely 2030+.EMVCo C-8 kernel + NIST standards ready – quantum threat real but not immediate.
For legitimate research: Use liboqs + open implementations.
Stay safe – PQC migration is coming.
Your choice.
– Based on NIST FIPS 204, EMVCo C-8, NXP JCOP 5 docs (2025).